A Critical Season for Southern African Farmers
Farmers across Southern Africa are preparing for the 2026/27 growing season amid concerns about below-average rainfall, delayed rains and prolonged dry spells. An October 2026 outlook from FEWS NET warns that El Niño could increase agricultural and food-security risks in several parts of the region.
The potential impact is significant for farming communities that depend on rainfall to grow maize, legumes and other staple crops. Poorly timed rainfall can affect seed germination, crop establishment and yields, putting pressure on household food supplies and agricultural incomes.
Zambia and Its Neighbours Face Different Risks
In Zambia, farmers need to consider local rainfall forecasts, soil conditions and crop requirements before making planting decisions. Zimbabwe, Malawi and Mozambique also face potential rainfall challenges, although conditions will vary between countries and districts.
Zambia’s government has moved to operationalise contingency plans ahead of the season, according to a report published by CCARDESA on 15 October 2026.
Farmers should therefore follow local weather updates and advice from agricultural extension officers rather than assume that conditions will be the same across the region.
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Practical Steps to Protect Crop Production
Farmers can reduce some production risks by selecting suitable seed varieties, preparing fields on time and managing weeds early. Where appropriate, early-maturing or drought-tolerant varieties may help farmers adapt to shorter or less reliable growing seasons, although no variety can guarantee a successful harvest under severe moisture stress.
Maintaining suitable soil cover, improving water management and considering alternative crops suited to local conditions may also help. Decisions should take account of seed availability, costs, household food needs and market demand.
Agricultural suppliers and policymakers also have a role to play by improving access to reliable weather information, appropriate seed and practical farming advice.
Preparation Will Be Key to the Next Harvest
The 2026/27 season highlights the importance of climate preparedness across Southern Africa. Although farmers cannot control rainfall, timely decisions and access to reliable information can help them manage risks.
For Zambia, Zimbabwe, Malawi and Mozambique, the priority is to turn seasonal forecasts into practical, location-specific action. Careful planning now could help farmers protect their crops, incomes and household food supplies in the months ahead.
